国际经济管理学院研究生workshop 2023年秋季学期第8期

  研究生workshop由首都经济贸易大学国际经济管理学院主办。主要内容:一是研究生报告前沿或经典文献,二是研究生报告自己的研究或研究设想。论坛宗旨是:为学院师生搭建一个学术交流平台,营造浓厚学术氛围;通过对经典论著或前沿文献的研讨,拓宽研究生的理论视野,提升研究生的前沿方法运用能力,帮助研究生提高论文写作质量。

 

本期workshop

  

报告人:崔粉芳(博士一年级)

导师:高逸尘

报告题目:《Brexit and Major Currencies: A Counterfactual Analysis》

 

  

报告摘要:

  This article studies how Brexit affected major currencies exchange rates. Using a panel data method proposed by Hisao, Ching and Wan (2012), we empirically evaluate the misalignments between the actual and counterfactual values of the real effective exchange rates (REER, CPI-based) of the United Kingdom (UK), European Union (EU), United States (US) and China (CN) from 2001 to 2019, where “counterfactual” refers to the counterfactual scenarios that the Brexit had not happened. We find that Brexit increased the trade competitiveness of the British pound and Euro in real term. UK's real effective exchange rate (REER) has a biggest change, dropping by 9.86%, which due to the depreciations in nominal effective exchange rate (NEER) and increases in Consumer Price Index (CPI). US's REER remained relatively stable, with a modest decline of 1.75%, mainly caused by CPI. And the CN's REER was almost unaffected.

  这篇文章研究了英国脱欧对主要货币汇率的影响。利用Hisao、Ching和Wan(2012)提出的面板数据方法,我们实证评估了2001年至2019年间英国(UK)、欧洲联盟(EU)、美国(US)和中国(CN)实际有效汇率(REER,以消费者物价指数为基础)与假设未发生脱欧时的虚拟值之间的错位情况。我们发现,脱欧提升了英镑和欧元的实际贸易竞争力。英国的实际有效汇率(REER)变化最大,下降了9.86%,这是由于名义有效汇率(NEER)贬值和消费者物价指数(CPI)增长所致。美国的REER相对稳定,仅有1.75%的轻微下降,主要是由CPI引起的。而中国的REER几乎没有受到影响。

  

报告人:刘杨(博士一年级)

导师:牛毅

报告题目:《How to make the metropolitan area work? Neither big government, nor laissez-faire》,Journal of Public Economics,2016

报告摘要:

  We study how administrative boundaries and tax competition among asymmetric jurisdictions interact with the labor and land markets to determine the economic structure and performance of metropolitan areas. Contrary to general belief, cross-border commuting need not be welfare-decreasing in the presence of agglomeration economies that vary with the distribution of firms within the metropolitan area. Tax competition implies that the central business district is too small and prevents public policy enhancing global productivity to deliver their full impact. Although our results support the idea of decentralizing the provision of local public services by independent jurisdictions, they highlight the need of coordinating tax policies and the importance of the jurisdiction sizes within metropolitan areas.

  我们研究了行政边界和不对称司法管辖区之间的税收竞争如何与劳动力市场和土地市场相互作用,来决定大都市地区的经济结构和表现。与普遍看法相反,跨境通勤在存在随着大都市地区企业分布变化而变化的集聚经济时,不一定会降低福利。税收竞争意味着中央商务区过小,并阻碍了增强全球生产力的公共政策发挥其全部影响。尽管我们的结果支持将地方公共服务的提供分散至独立的司法管辖区,但也强调了协调税收政策的必要性以及大都市地区内司法管辖区规模的重要性。